Resource Planning in Four Numbers


Hi there,

Today we will talk about how to plan work realistically using four simple numbers, capacity, WIP limit, throughput, and buffer, so teams stay focused, finish more, and avoid overload.

Plans often fail because they ignore reality. Work expands, priorities collide, and teams stretch thin. A lightweight system that fits on one page can fix this. Four numbers are enough to plan honestly and move faster.

The Leadership Lesson Explained

Resource planning works when you size the work to the team you actually have. You do that with four numbers: capacity (focus hours per week), WIP limit (how much can be active at once), throughput target (how many items you finish per cycle), and buffer (the percent reserved for unplanned work). These numbers turn vague hopes into visible constraints. People can see what fits and what must wait.

The goal is steady finishing, not perpetual motion. Set the numbers, build a simple board that maps work to them, and run a short weekly review. When the signals slip, adjust scope or sequence before stress spikes. The plan stays honest because the math is small, clear, and public.

Case Study: Toyota’s Kanban Limits

Toyota’s production system uses Kanban cards to cap work in progress (WIP). Each station pulls work only when there is space, which keeps flow predictable and makes defects easier to spot. That simple constraint turns chaos into rhythm and surfaces problems early. Managers then fix root causes instead of pushing people harder.

Software and operations teams borrowed the idea with digital boards and WIP limits. Capacity is sized, buffers are explicit, and throughput is measured per cycle. The visual system keeps plans tied to what people can actually do. Delivery becomes calmer and faster because the rules are clear.

Takeaway: Limit what is active, match work to real capacity, and protect a buffer so flow stays smooth.

Five Tactics to Plan with Four Numbers

1) Capacity: count focus hours, not headcount

Headcount hides the truth because calendars are not equal. Capacity means the hours a person can actually focus on planned work after meetings, support, and admin. Multiply that by the team and you get a weekly budget.

Try this: Ask each person about a typical week and set a standard focus total, like 18–22 hours. Recalculate when holidays, on-call, or training change the week.

Why it works: Real hours eliminate fantasy schedules. People plan to a number they can protect, not to job titles.

2) WIP limit: cap how much can run at once

Too many parallel efforts create switching costs and delays. A WIP limit sets the maximum active initiatives per person or team. The next item starts only when something finishes.

Try this: Set “two active initiatives per person” or “five per team” and enforce it on the board. Mark anything above the limit and pause it deliberately.

Why it works: Less juggling raises finish rates. Quality improves because attention stays intact.

3) Throughput target: measure finishes per cycle

Momentum comes from finishes, not starts. A throughput target defines how many units a team will complete in a two- or four-week cycle. Use history to choose a realistic number, then protect it.

Try this: Look back at the last four cycles and average completed items with your current WIP limit. Set that average as the target and publish it beside the board.

Why it works: A visible finish pace aligns expectations. Forecasts improve because they are based on evidence.

4) Buffer: reserve time for the unknown

Unplanned work arrives every week and steals energy from planned goals. A buffer percentage acknowledges reality and keeps the plan from breaking. Use it for incidents, requests, and small fixes.

Try this: Start with a 20–25 percent buffer and adjust after a month of data. Show buffer consumption in reviews so leaders see the cost of interrupts.

Why it works: Explicit slack prevents silent overload. Teams move faster overall because surprises have room.

5) Portfolio fit: load the quarter with math, not hope

Once the four numbers are set, size the quarter by multiplying capacity across weeks, applying the buffer, and checking WIP and throughput. Anything that does not fit becomes “not now.” Trade scope, not people.

Try this: Put the math at the top of the plan: total focus hours, buffer, net capacity, WIP limit, and throughput target. Place each initiative against these constraints before you commit.

Why it works: Simple arithmetic forces choices. The plan matches reality, so execution feels lighter.

Five Common Resource Planning Mistakes and How to Fix Them

1) Planning from headcount instead of capacity

Assuming 40 hours of project time per person ignores meetings and support. Dates slip while everyone works late. Trust in planning fades.

Fix: Plan to focus hours and refresh the number weekly. Publish total capacity beside the plan.

2) Aiming for 100 percent utilization

Full calendars look efficient and destroy flow. Small delays cascade and teams lose slack for learning. Burnout follows.

Fix: Set a buffer percent and enforce it. Reward steady finishing and on-time reviews, not packed schedules.

3) No WIP limit

Everything starts and little finishes. Context switching erodes quality and pace. Reviews turn into status therapy.

Fix: Cap active work per person or team and mark breaches clearly. Do not start new items until one finish.

4) Forecasting without throughput

Roadmaps become wish lists because they ignore finishing history. Leaders overpromise and teams carry the stress.

Fix: Track finishes per cycle and forecast from that number. Adjust only when you change the system, not the optimism.

5) Treating interrupts as invisible

Support, incidents, and “quick asks” quietly consume the week. Planned work misses because the plan pretends otherwise.

Fix: Log unplanned work, spend from the buffer, and show the spend in reviews. Increase the buffer or reduce scope when reality demands it.

Weekly Challenge

Build a one-page resource plan for the next month. Set capacity in focus hours, choose a WIP limit, pick a throughput target from recent history, and reserve a buffer. Load initiatives until the math says stop, then publish a short “not now” list. Review the four numbers weekly and tune them until flow feels calmer and finish rates rise.

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