Five Tactics to Plan with Four Numbers
1) Capacity: count focus hours, not headcount
Headcount hides the truth because calendars are not equal. Capacity means the hours a person can actually focus on planned work after meetings, support, and admin. Multiply that by the team and you get a weekly budget.
Try this: Ask each person about a typical week and set a standard focus total, like 18–22 hours. Recalculate when holidays, on-call, or training change the week.
Why it works: Real hours eliminate fantasy schedules. People plan to a number they can protect, not to job titles.
2) WIP limit: cap how much can run at once
Too many parallel efforts create switching costs and delays. A WIP limit sets the maximum active initiatives per person or team. The next item starts only when something finishes.
Try this: Set “two active initiatives per person” or “five per team” and enforce it on the board. Mark anything above the limit and pause it deliberately.
Why it works: Less juggling raises finish rates. Quality improves because attention stays intact.
3) Throughput target: measure finishes per cycle
Momentum comes from finishes, not starts. A throughput target defines how many units a team will complete in a two- or four-week cycle. Use history to choose a realistic number, then protect it.
Try this: Look back at the last four cycles and average completed items with your current WIP limit. Set that average as the target and publish it beside the board.
Why it works: A visible finish pace aligns expectations. Forecasts improve because they are based on evidence.
4) Buffer: reserve time for the unknown
Unplanned work arrives every week and steals energy from planned goals. A buffer percentage acknowledges reality and keeps the plan from breaking. Use it for incidents, requests, and small fixes.
Try this: Start with a 20–25 percent buffer and adjust after a month of data. Show buffer consumption in reviews so leaders see the cost of interrupts.
Why it works: Explicit slack prevents silent overload. Teams move faster overall because surprises have room.
5) Portfolio fit: load the quarter with math, not hope
Once the four numbers are set, size the quarter by multiplying capacity across weeks, applying the buffer, and checking WIP and throughput. Anything that does not fit becomes “not now.” Trade scope, not people.
Try this: Put the math at the top of the plan: total focus hours, buffer, net capacity, WIP limit, and throughput target. Place each initiative against these constraints before you commit.
Why it works: Simple arithmetic forces choices. The plan matches reality, so execution feels lighter.